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DownUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$31.06
Combined PnL
-$2.18
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares59
Combined PnL-$8.63
Up2 traders
Total Value$31.06
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$6.45
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.5¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 29% 345-852 (1197) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 77.8¢ | $17.11 | $21.06 | +$3.95 | 53% 716-640 (1356) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $7.5 | $10 | +$2.5 | 49% 2888-3006 (5894) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 52% 3206-2981 (6187) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 43% 533-713 (1246) |
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
29%
345-852 (1197)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$17.11
Value
$21.06
PnL
+$3.95
Record
53%
716-640 (1356)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.5
Record
49%
2888-3006 (5894)
BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
52%
3206-2981 (6187)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
43%
533-713 (1246)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf88b08e3...09f80a
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794333000