Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Down 54%
$120.38
-$86.56
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $51.92 | — | -$51.92 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 87.6¢ | $46.76 | $48.61 | +$1.85 | 28% 328-837 (1165) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $42.21 | $31 | -$1.64 | 37% 248-428 (676) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $21.3 | — | -$21.3 | 52% 657-596 (1253) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $18.95 | $20 | +$1.05 | 49% 2852-2967 (5819) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $13.35 | $15 | +$1.65 | 44% 511-656 (1167) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $3.34 | $3.75 | +$0.41 | 52% 662-606 (1268) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$1.25 | 58% 993-717 (1710) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $1.82 | $2.02 | +$0.2 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $0.51 | — | -$0.51 | 41% 317-458 (775) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $4.92 | — | -$4.92 | 52% 3162-2947 (6109) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 35% 248-455 (703) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $10.05 | — | -$10.05 | 49% 523-535 (1058) |
Invested
$51.92
Value
—
PnL
-$51.92
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
Invested
$46.76
Value
$48.61
PnL
+$1.85
Record
28%
328-837 (1165)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$42.21
Value
$31
PnL
-$1.64
Record
37%
248-428 (676)
Invested
$21.3
Value
—
PnL
-$21.3
Record
52%
657-596 (1253)
Invested
$18.95
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.05
Record
49%
2852-2967 (5819)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.65
Record
44%
511-656 (1167)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.34
Value
$3.75
PnL
+$0.41
Record
52%
662-606 (1268)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
58%
993-717 (1710)
Invested
$1.82
Value
$2.02
PnL
+$0.2
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)
Invested
$0.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
41%
317-458 (775)
Invested
$4.92
Value
—
PnL
-$4.92
Record
52%
3162-2947 (6109)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
35%
248-455 (703)
Invested
$10.05
Value
—
PnL
-$10.05
Record
49%
523-535 (1058)