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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$49.3

Combined PnL

-$86.68

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$49.3

Total Shares49

Combined PnL+$4.75

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares204

Combined PnL-$91.43

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 69¢	$32.46	$27.4	-$5.06	27% 298-793 (1091)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 64.7¢	$26.05	—	-$24.51	49% 2767-2874 (5641)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 78¢	$17.02	—	-$17.02	49% 439-452 (891)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 71.1¢	$5.53	$7.78	+$2.25	37% 212-358 (570)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Upavg 82¢	$8.2	—	-$8.2	57% 822-611 (1433)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 52¢	$5.2	$10	+$4.8	41% 425-614 (1039)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 33¢	$1.36	$4.12	+$2.76	61% 962-618 (1580)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 43.7¢	$37.62	—	-$37.62	53% 578-516 (1094)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$4.08	—	-$4.08	41% 249-352 (601)

Invested

$32.46

Value

$27.4

PnL

-$5.06

Record

27%

298-793 (1091)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$26.05

Value

—

PnL

-$24.51

Record

49%

2767-2874 (5641)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$17.02

Value

—

PnL

-$17.02

Record

49%

439-452 (891)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$5.53

Value

$7.78

PnL

+$2.25

Record

37%

212-358 (570)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$8.2

Value

—

PnL

-$8.2

Record

57%

822-611 (1433)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.8

Record

41%

425-614 (1039)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.36

Value

$4.12

PnL

+$2.76

Record

61%

962-618 (1580)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$37.62

Value

—

PnL

-$37.62

Record

53%

578-516 (1094)

Invested

$4.08

Value

—

PnL

-$4.08

Record

41%

249-352 (601)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x14c001d2...8093ae

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794309300

Traders in this Market

13897651

Down — $27.4

asdcaxz

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $7.78

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $10

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $4.12

ply-pm2

Up — $0

0x50f7

Up — $0

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