Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Down 58%
$175.21
-$57.85
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | $81.35 | $69.88 | -$11.47 | 27% 289-786 (1075) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $71.64 | $43.75 | -$27.89 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $26.37 | $30 | +$3.63 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $26.57 | $28.57 | +$2 | 39% 249-385 (634) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $10.03 | — | -$10.03 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $8.8 | — | -$3.37 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $2.43 | $3 | +$0.57 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 42% 240-335 (575) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $5.29 | — | -$5.29 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
Invested
$81.35
Value
$69.88
PnL
-$11.47
Record
27%
289-786 (1075)
Invested
$71.64
Value
$43.75
PnL
-$27.89
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$26.37
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.63
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
Invested
$26.57
Value
$28.57
PnL
+$2
Record
39%
249-385 (634)
Invested
$10.03
Value
—
PnL
-$10.03
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.37
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Invested
$2.43
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.57
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
42%
240-335 (575)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$5.29
Value
—
PnL
-$5.29
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)