Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Up 63%
$112.61
$0.12
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $63.6 | $78.24 | +$14.64 | 27% 289-786 (1075) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $21.31 | $25.28 | +$3.97 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.6¢ | $13.67 | — | -$13.67 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $7.51 | $8 | +$0.49 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.61 | — | -$1.61 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 37% 211-354 (565) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 44.7¢ | $2.7 | $0.84 | +$1.89 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $0.13 | $0.25 | +$0.12 | 47% 242-272 (514) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.61 | — | -$1.61 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $3.91 | — | -$3.75 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
Invested
$63.6
Value
$78.24
PnL
+$14.64
Record
27%
289-786 (1075)
Invested
$21.31
Value
$25.28
PnL
+$3.97
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
Invested
$13.67
Value
—
PnL
-$13.67
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$7.51
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.49
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$1.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.61
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
37%
211-354 (565)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$0.84
PnL
+$1.89
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Invested
$0.13
Value
$0.25
PnL
+$0.12
Record
47%
242-272 (514)
Invested
$1.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.61
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
Invested
$3.91
Value
—
PnL
-$3.75
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)