Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$500.29
$38.46
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 67.6¢ | $184.75 | $214.49 | +$29.74 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $80.77 | $104.13 | +$23.36 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $74.62 | $69.2 | -$5.42 | 27% 289-786 (1075) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.8¢ | $42.74 | $69.2 | +$26.46 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.3¢ | $31.89 | — | -$31.89 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $71.9 | $79.5 | +$7.6 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $15.91 | $11.38 | -$4.53 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $8.9 | $10.26 | +$1.53 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $4.5 | $6.34 | +$1.84 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $2.3 | — | -$2.3 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $13.93 | — | -$8.02 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.7¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
Invested
$184.75
Value
$214.49
PnL
+$29.74
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$80.77
Value
$104.13
PnL
+$23.36
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$74.62
Value
$69.2
PnL
-$5.42
Record
27%
289-786 (1075)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.9
Value
$79.5
PnL
+$7.6
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.91
Value
$11.38
PnL
-$4.53
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
Invested
$8.9
Value
$10.26
PnL
+$1.53
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$6.34
PnL
+$1.84
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$2.3
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$13.93
Value
—
PnL
-$8.02
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Up — $214.49
ply-pm2
Up — $104.13
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $79.5
MayorMamdani
Up — $11.38
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $10.26
asdaefef
Up — $6.34
asidjasiodja
Up — $5
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0