Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$163.65

Combined PnL

-$67.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$163.65

Total Shares164

Combined PnL+$47.99

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares217

Combined PnL-$115.02

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
13 13897651	Upavg 47.7¢	$105.31	$117.27	+$11.96	27% 282-776 (1058)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 62.7¢	$46.16	—	-$46.16	49% 2736-2830 (5566)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$45.34	—	-$35.78	52% 3043-2807 (5850)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 30.9¢	$27.04	—	-$27.04	53% 546-483 (1029)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.09	$8.63	+$4.54	44% 394-503 (897)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 64¢	$9	—	-$5.3	57% 763-564 (1327)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 19¢	$2.72	$6.32	+$4.24	61% 903-581 (1484)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 13.3¢	$4.19	$31.44	+$27.25	49% 409-418 (827)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$0.75	—	-$0.75	44% 416-524 (940)

Invested

$105.31

Value

$117.27

PnL

+$11.96

Record

27%

282-776 (1058)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$46.16

Value

—

PnL

-$46.16

Record

49%

2736-2830 (5566)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$45.34

Value

—

PnL

-$35.78

Record

52%

3043-2807 (5850)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$27.04

Value

—

PnL

-$27.04

Record

53%

546-483 (1029)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$4.09

Value

$8.63

PnL

+$4.54

Record

44%

394-503 (897)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.3

Record

57%

763-564 (1327)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.72

Value

$6.32

PnL

+$4.24

Record

61%

903-581 (1484)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$4.19

Value

$31.44

PnL

+$27.25

Record

49%

409-418 (827)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.75

Value

—

PnL

-$0.75

Record

44%

416-524 (940)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x509d4461...a3d5f7

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794303300

Traders in this Market

13897651

Up — $117.27

asdcaxz

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $8.63

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6.32

uninformedfloww

Up — $31.44

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket