Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Up 62%
$135.72
-$28.57
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $104.23 | $101.37 | -$2.86 | 27% 282-776 (1058) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $12.24 | — | -$12.24 | 41% 232-329 (561) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $65.22 | $19.3 | +$0.76 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 48% 414-448 (862) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $5.98 | $5 | -$0.98 | 56% 571-449 (1020) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $4.77 | $5.05 | +$0.28 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 57% 763-564 (1327) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 44% 416-524 (940) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 53% 546-483 (1029) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 38% 197-327 (524) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $0.82 | — | -$0.82 | 37% 202-339 (541) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 49% 2736-2830 (5566) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $1.49 | — | -$1.49 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
Invested
$104.23
Value
$101.37
PnL
-$2.86
Record
27%
282-776 (1058)
Invested
$12.24
Value
—
PnL
-$12.24
Record
41%
232-329 (561)
Invested
$65.22
Value
$19.3
PnL
+$0.76
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
414-448 (862)
Invested
$5.98
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.98
Record
56%
571-449 (1020)
Invested
$4.77
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.28
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
57%
763-564 (1327)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
44%
416-524 (940)
Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
53%
546-483 (1029)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
38%
197-327 (524)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.82
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
37%
202-339 (541)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
49%
2736-2830 (5566)
Invested
$1.49
Value
—
PnL
-$1.49
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)