Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$479.37
-$8.09
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 76.4Β’ | $153.38 | $150.99 | +$0.39 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 64.3Β’ | $151.04 | $120.95 | -$21.09 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 65.3Β’ | $79.18 | $90.96 | +$11.78 | 26% 272-772 (1044) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 46.4Β’ | $40.16 | $57 | +$16.84 | 49% 2719-2815 (5534) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $44.24 | $31.39 | -$12.85 | 53% 536-466 (1002) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 71Β’ | $22.29 | $31.39 | +$9.1 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 21.3Β’ | $21.95 | β | -$21.95 | |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $8.2 | $10.93 | +$2.73 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.8Β’ | $8.02 | β | -$8.02 | 49% 392-405 (797) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $5.94 | $6.06 | +$0.12 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $4.26 | $6.09 | +$1.83 | 61% 877-568 (1445) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $3.4 | β | -$3.4 | 44% 385-488 (873) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $10.84 | $5 | +$4.71 | 58% 736-544 (1280) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.7Β’ | $13.98 | β | -$13.98 | 38% 327-526 (853) |
Invested
$153.38
Value
$150.99
PnL
+$0.39
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$151.04
Value
$120.95
PnL
-$21.09
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
Invested
$79.18
Value
$90.96
PnL
+$11.78
Record
26%
272-772 (1044)
Invested
$40.16
Value
$57
PnL
+$16.84
Record
49%
2719-2815 (5534)
Invested
$44.24
Value
$31.39
PnL
-$12.85
Record
53%
536-466 (1002)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$10.93
PnL
+$2.73
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$8.02
Value
β
PnL
-$8.02
Record
49%
392-405 (797)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.12
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
Invested
$4.26
Value
$6.09
PnL
+$1.83
Record
61%
877-568 (1445)
Invested
$3.4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.4
Record
44%
385-488 (873)
Invested
$10.84
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.71
Record
58%
736-544 (1280)
Invested
$13.98
Value
β
PnL
-$13.98
Record
38%
327-526 (853)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Up β $150.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $120.95
13897651
Up β $90.96
asdcaxz
Up β $57
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

MayorMamdani
Up β $10.93
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $6.06
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $6.09
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown β $0