Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 58%
$219.51
-$31.82
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $71.54 | $73 | +$1.46 | 89% 29489-3558 (33047) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $40.95 | $66.76 | +$25.81 | 51% 10642-10092 (20734) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $48.72 | $50 | +$1.28 | 48% 6714-7364 (14078) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $25.84 | $24.12 | -$1.72 | 56% 8889-6954 (15843) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.2¢ | $34.72 | — | -$34.72 | 45% 40219-48185 (88404) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.4¢ | $5.98 | — | -$5.98 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.7¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 63% 42522-25264 (67786) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 57.7¢ | $3.25 | $5.63 | +$2.38 | 65% 130448-70263 (200711) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.6¢ | $11.15 | — | -$11.15 | 51% 12215-11708 (23923) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.1¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 61% 98731-62694 (161425) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.8¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 49% 81096-84540 (165636) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.19 | — | -$0.19 | 49% 10666-11322 (21988) |
Invested
$71.54
Value
$73
PnL
+$1.46
Record
89%
29489-3558 (33047)
Invested
$40.95
Value
$66.76
PnL
+$25.81
Record
51%
10642-10092 (20734)
Invested
$48.72
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.28
Record
48%
6714-7364 (14078)
Invested
$25.84
Value
$24.12
PnL
-$1.72
Record
56%
8889-6954 (15843)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$34.72
Value
—
PnL
-$34.72
Record
45%
40219-48185 (88404)
Invested
$5.98
Value
—
PnL
-$5.98
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
63%
42522-25264 (67786)
Invested
$3.25
Value
$5.63
PnL
+$2.38
Record
65%
130448-70263 (200711)
Invested
$11.15
Value
—
PnL
-$11.15
Record
51%
12215-11708 (23923)
Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
61%
98731-62694 (161425)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
49%
81096-84540 (165636)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
—
PnL
-$0.19
Record
49%
10666-11322 (21988)