Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 69%
1 arb excluded
$587.09
-$101.19
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $269.61 | $275 | +$5.39 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 72.4¢ | $89.49 | $85 | -$4.49 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $56.2 | $56.55 | +$0.34 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $37.27 | — | -$37.27 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $63.83 | $47.12 | -$16.71 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.5¢ | $35.56 | $47.12 | +$11.56 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.4¢ | $28.26 | — | -$28.26 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.5¢ | $57.22 | — | -$57.22 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $37.04 | $36.33 | -$0.71 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $27.78 | $23.35 | -$4.42 | 56% 8800-6875 (15675) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $20.1 | $32.31 | +$12.21 | 65% 114590-61630 (176220) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $9.31 | $10.67 | +$1.36 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $9.3 | $10.71 | +$3.38 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $9.27 | $10.05 | +$0.78 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 73.2¢ | $20.51 | — | -$20.51 | 48% 10610-11273 (21883) |
Invested
$269.61
Value
$275
PnL
+$5.39
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
Invested
$89.49
Value
$85
PnL
-$4.49
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$56.2
Value
$56.55
PnL
+$0.34
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
Invested
$37.27
Value
—
PnL
-$37.27
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
Invested
$63.83
Value
$47.12
PnL
-$16.71
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Both legs:
Invested
$57.22
Value
—
PnL
-$57.22
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$37.04
Value
$36.33
PnL
-$0.71
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$27.78
Value
$23.35
PnL
-$4.42
Record
56%
8800-6875 (15675)
Invested
$20.1
Value
$32.31
PnL
+$12.21
Record
65%
114590-61630 (176220)
Invested
$9.31
Value
$10.67
PnL
+$1.36
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$10.71
PnL
+$3.38
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.27
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$0.78
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$20.51
Value
—
PnL
-$20.51
Record
48%
10610-11273 (21883)