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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$89.62

Combined PnL

-$16.14

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$89.62
Total Shares90
Combined PnL+$2.81
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$18.94
Up — 45%Down — 55%
13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$47.08

Value

$48.59

PnL

+$1.51

Record

56%

8747-6830 (15577)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$14.26

Value

$14

PnL

-$0.26

Record

45%

40037-47965 (88002)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$13.72

Value

$14

PnL

+$0.28

Record

66%

130579-67519 (198098)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.96

Value

—

PnL

-$6.96

Record

51%

12016-11488 (23504)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$5.46

Value

$6.03

PnL

+$0.57

Record

49%

80904-84349 (165253)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$7.72

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.7

Record

65%

130170-70085 (200255)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.67

Value

—

PnL

-$6.67

Record

47%

6472-7172 (13644)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.22

Value

—

PnL

-$2.22

Record

58%

63234-46452 (109686)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.18

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

59%

63884-45002 (108886)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.42

Value

—

PnL

-$0.42

Record

61%

46036-29200 (75236)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

51%

10467-9935 (20402)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbad47d33...f6ac12
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793995500

Traders in this Market

13

13897651

Up — $48.59

+$1.51

pspspsps5

Up — $14

-$0.26
AS

asdaefef

Up — $14

+$0.28
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.96

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $6.03

+$0.57
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7

+$0.7
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.67
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.22
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.18

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.42
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