Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 73%
$159.33
-$80
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $107.63 | $102.5 | -$5.14 | 56% 7465-5776 (13241) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 56.1¢ | $81.77 | $51.7 | -$11.32 | 65% 127596-68188 (195784) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $16.6 | — | -$16.6 | 48% 5026-5405 (10431) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $14.59 | — | -$14.59 | 51% 9087-8639 (17726) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $13.25 | — | -$13.25 | 51% 10504-10014 (20518) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $5.36 | — | -$5.36 | 52% 92307-86760 (179067) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $6.69 | $5.14 | -$1.55 | 66% 128328-66114 (194442) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.57 | — | -$3.57 | 48% 9484-10383 (19867) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 55% 19196-15744 (34940) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.9¢ | $2.52 | — | -$2.52 | 61% 96977-61224 (158201) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 57% 73066-55713 (128779) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $6.37 | — | -$4.05 | 64% 26409-14803 (41212) |
Invested
$107.63
Value
$102.5
PnL
-$5.14
Record
56%
7465-5776 (13241)
Invested
$81.77
Value
$51.7
PnL
-$11.32
Record
65%
127596-68188 (195784)
Invested
$16.6
Value
—
PnL
-$16.6
Record
48%
5026-5405 (10431)
Invested
$14.59
Value
—
PnL
-$14.59
Record
51%
9087-8639 (17726)
Invested
$13.25
Value
—
PnL
-$13.25
Record
51%
10504-10014 (20518)
Invested
$5.36
Value
—
PnL
-$5.36
Record
52%
92307-86760 (179067)
Invested
$6.69
Value
$5.14
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
128328-66114 (194442)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.57
Value
—
PnL
-$3.57
Record
48%
9484-10383 (19867)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
55%
19196-15744 (34940)
Invested
$2.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
61%
96977-61224 (158201)
Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
57%
73066-55713 (128779)
Invested
$6.37
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
64%
26409-14803 (41212)