Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 88%
1 arb excluded
$256.81
$23.09
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $180.43 | $144.5 | -$35.93 | 51% 8396-7911 (16307) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 94¢ | $135.83 | $144.5 | +$8.67 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 75.8¢ | $44.6 | — | -$44.6 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $25.26 | $26.71 | +$2.45 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $22.46 | $29.4 | +$6.94 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $12.61 | $13 | +$0.39 | 93% 24291-1810 (26101) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | $4.82 | $18.2 | +$13.35 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 59% 62663-43746 (106409) |
Invested
$180.43
Value
$144.5
PnL
-$35.93
Record
51%
8396-7911 (16307)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.26
Value
$26.71
PnL
+$2.45
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$22.46
Value
$29.4
PnL
+$6.94
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Invested
$12.61
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.39
Record
93%
24291-1810 (26101)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
$18.2
PnL
+$13.35
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
59%
62663-43746 (106409)
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