Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Up 100%
$0
-$96.5
Smart Money Signal
8 of 8 top traders (100%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12Β’ | $3.36 | β | -$3.36 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $78.52 | β | -$78.52 | 51% 8396-7911 (16307) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.5Β’ | $2.16 | β | -$2.16 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $2.07 | β | -$2.07 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.72 | β | -$0.72 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $15.28 | β | -$7.61 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
β
PnL
-$3.36
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$78.52
Value
β
PnL
-$78.52
Record
51%
8396-7911 (16307)
Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$2.16
Value
β
PnL
-$2.16
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$2.07
Value
β
PnL
-$2.07
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
β
PnL
-$0.72
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
Invested
$15.28
Value
β
PnL
-$7.61
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
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