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UpUpUpDown
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Down
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$74.07
Combined PnL
$0.38
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$74.07
Total Shares74
Combined PnL+$11.19
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares341
Combined PnL-$10.81
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $40.21 | $43.75 | +$3.54 | 52% 8141-7644 (15785) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $12.96 | $18 | +$5.04 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $9.71 | $12.32 | +$2.61 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 58% 51244-37362 (88606) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3.03 | — | -$3.03 | 49% 78322-81818 (160140) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.8¢ | $0.68 | — | -$0.68 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$40.21
Value
$43.75
PnL
+$3.54
Record
52%
8141-7644 (15785)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.96
Value
$18
PnL
+$5.04
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$9.71
Value
$12.32
PnL
+$2.61
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
58%
51244-37362 (88606)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
—
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
78322-81818 (160140)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.68
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x648fe06b...c7d87b
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793489400