Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$68.23
-$28.13
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $22.74 | $25.07 | +$2.33 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $23.98 | $18.18 | -$5.8 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $26.13 | $16 | -$10.12 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $7.77 | $8.98 | +$1.21 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $6.46 | — | -$6.46 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $4.86 | — | -$4.86 | 66% 112373-59102 (171475) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.09 | — | -$1.09 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
Invested
$22.74
Value
$25.07
PnL
+$2.33
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$23.98
Value
$18.18
PnL
-$5.8
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$26.13
Value
$16
PnL
-$10.12
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$7.77
Value
$8.98
PnL
+$1.21
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$6.46
Value
—
PnL
-$6.46
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$4.86
Value
—
PnL
-$4.86
Record
66%
112373-59102 (171475)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.09
Value
—
PnL
-$1.09
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
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