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DownDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$194.47
Combined PnL
$10.39
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$76.47
Total Shares76
Combined PnL+$10.39
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $77.09 | $118 | +$40.91 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.3¢ | $72.33 | $118 | +$45.67 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 7.6¢ | $4.76 | — | -$4.76 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $26.58 | $32.53 | +$5.95 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $8.92 | $12.05 | +$3.13 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $0.89 | $1.89 | +$1 | 66% 112373-59102 (171475) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$77.09
Value
$118
PnL
+$40.91
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Both legs:
Down$72.3361.3¢+$45.67
Up$4.767.6¢-$4.76
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.58
Value
$32.53
PnL
+$5.95
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.92
Value
$12.05
PnL
+$3.13
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$0.89
Value
$1.89
PnL
+$1
Record
66%
112373-59102 (171475)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd00d9ce3...3d2591
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793488200