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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$323.21

Combined PnL

-$25.77

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$257.38

Total Shares257

Combined PnL-$3.64

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares103

Combined PnL-$22.13

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 70.2¢	$69.12	$65.83	-$3.29	52% 8084-7595 (15679)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.2¢	$46.19	$65.83	+$19.64
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.3¢	$22.93	—	-$22.93
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 67.8¢	$79.62	$61.86	-$17.76	57% 71362-54385 (125747)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 90.5¢	$81.22	$89.75	+$8.53	46% 38429-45392 (83821)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 73.2¢	$50.29	$46.42	+$2.02	64% 24226-13368 (37594)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 95¢	$42.69	$44.94	+$2.25	49% 78260-81715 (159975)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$2.85	—	-$2.85	58% 60841-44423 (105264)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 86¢	$8.09	$9.41	+$1.32	63% 52240-31232 (83472)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 79¢	$10.82	—	-$10.82	65% 125846-67348 (193194)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$6.58	—	-$6.58	66% 112365-59078 (171443)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 7¢	$0.78	—	-$0.78	62% 44041-27052 (71093)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.1	—	-$1.1	64% 40407-23120 (63527)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$5	$5	+$0	59% 62520-43633 (106153)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$69.12

Value

$65.83

PnL

-$3.29

Record

52%

8084-7595 (15679)

Both legs:

Up$46.1970.2¢+$19.64

Down$22.9317.3¢-$22.93

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$79.62

Value

$61.86

PnL

-$17.76

Record

57%

71362-54385 (125747)

Invested

$81.22

Value

$89.75

PnL

+$8.53

Record

46%

38429-45392 (83821)

Invested

$50.29

Value

$46.42

PnL

+$2.02

Record

64%

24226-13368 (37594)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$42.69

Value

$44.94

PnL

+$2.25

Record

49%

78260-81715 (159975)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.85

Value

—

PnL

-$2.85

Record

58%

60841-44423 (105264)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$8.09

Value

$9.41

PnL

+$1.32

Record

63%

52240-31232 (83472)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$10.82

Value

—

PnL

-$10.82

Record

65%

125846-67348 (193194)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$6.58

Value

—

PnL

-$6.58

Record

66%

112365-59078 (171443)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

62%

44041-27052 (71093)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.1

Value

—

PnL

-$1.1

Record

64%

40407-23120 (63527)

Invested

$5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

62520-43633 (106153)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x54ba9998...bbd385

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793480700

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Up — $61.86

pspspsps5

Up — $89.75

aaa221

Up — $46.42

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $44.94

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $9.41

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

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