Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 71%
$40.05
-$53.08
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $25 | $30.05 | +$5.05 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.3¢ | $45.3 | — | -$45.3 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $10.75 | — | -$10.75 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $3.25 | — | -$3.25 | 56% 58419-45082 (103501) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
Invested
$25
Value
$30.05
PnL
+$5.05
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$45.3
Value
—
PnL
-$45.3
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$10.75
Value
—
PnL
-$10.75
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Invested
$3.25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
56%
58419-45082 (103501)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
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