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UpDownUpUpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$132
Combined PnL
-$113.03
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$132
Total Shares132
Combined PnL+$35.79
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares199
Combined PnL-$148.82
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $93.81 | $90 | +$0.39 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $98.52 | — | -$98.52 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $4.8 | $30 | +$25.2 | 65% 125844-67348 (193192) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.8 | $12 | +$10.2 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.7¢ | $41.05 | — | -$41.05 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$93.81
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.39
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$98.52
Value
—
PnL
-$98.52
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$25.2
Record
65%
125844-67348 (193192)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$12
PnL
+$10.2
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$41.05
Value
—
PnL
-$41.05
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2e3a045...e8213f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793475000