Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 70%
2 arb excluded
$634.91
$83.51
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $291.22 | $258.35 | -$32.86 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.7¢ | $138.08 | — | -$138.08 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.3¢ | $153.14 | $258.35 | +$105.22 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 45.6¢ | $55.73 | $83.7 | +$27.97 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40.9¢ | $17.6 | — | -$17.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.6¢ | $38.13 | $83.7 | +$45.57 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $33 | $88.82 | +$55.82 | 49% 78195-81703 (159898) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $25.32 | $54.84 | +$29.52 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $45 | $52.93 | +$7.93 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $45 | $50 | +$5 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.1¢ | $10.52 | — | -$10.52 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.4¢ | $26.7 | $31.64 | +$4.94 | 65% 125844-67348 (193192) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $9.36 | $12.57 | +$3.21 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $12.73 | $2.06 | -$4.83 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
Invested
$291.22
Value
$258.35
PnL
-$32.86
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
Both legs:
Invested
$55.73
Value
$83.7
PnL
+$27.97
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$33
Value
$88.82
PnL
+$55.82
Record
49%
78195-81703 (159898)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$25.32
Value
$54.84
PnL
+$29.52
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$45
Value
$52.93
PnL
+$7.93
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$45
Value
$50
PnL
+$5
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$10.52
Value
—
PnL
-$10.52
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$26.7
Value
$31.64
PnL
+$4.94
Record
65%
125844-67348 (193192)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
Invested
$9.36
Value
$12.57
PnL
+$3.21
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Invested
$12.73
Value
$2.06
PnL
-$4.83
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $88.82
pspspsps5
Up — $54.84
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $52.93
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $31.64
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $12.57