Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Down 63%
$83.78
-$147.85
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $68.41 | $68.48 | +$0.07 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.1¢ | $72.38 | — | -$72.38 | 52% 8084-7595 (15679) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $47.1 | $10.3 | -$32.67 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $8.42 | — | -$8.42 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.8¢ | $22.75 | — | -$22.75 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $10 | — | -$9.2 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
Invested
$68.41
Value
$68.48
PnL
+$0.07
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
Invested
$72.38
Value
—
PnL
-$72.38
Record
52%
8084-7595 (15679)
Invested
$47.1
Value
$10.3
PnL
-$32.67
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.42
Value
—
PnL
-$8.42
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
$22.75
Value
—
PnL
-$22.75
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
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