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Down
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$44.69
Combined PnL
-$22.15
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares108
Combined PnL-$30.03
Up3 traders
Total Value$44.69
Total Shares45
Combined PnL+$7.88
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.1¢ | $23.7 | — | -$23.7 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6¢ | $5.13 | — | -$5.13 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $16.6 | $18.69 | +$3.28 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $13.6 | $16 | +$2.4 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $7.8 | $10 | +$2.2 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$23.7
Value
—
PnL
-$23.7
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.13
Value
—
PnL
-$5.13
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$16.6
Value
$18.69
PnL
+$3.28
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.6
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.4
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.2
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b2134f8...9af0fe
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793462700