Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$94.26
-$631.67
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 61.2¢ | $421.37 | — | -$421.37 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 62.4¢ | $125.62 | — | -$125.62 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $78.7 | $81.61 | +$2.91 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $63.73 | — | -$63.73 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $11.76 | $12.65 | +$0.89 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $15.58 | — | -$15.58 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.57 | — | -$3.57 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
Invested
$421.37
Value
—
PnL
-$421.37
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$125.62
Value
—
PnL
-$125.62
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$78.7
Value
$81.61
PnL
+$2.91
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$63.73
Value
—
PnL
-$63.73
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$11.76
Value
$12.65
PnL
+$0.89
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$15.58
Value
—
PnL
-$15.58
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$3.57
Value
—
PnL
-$3.57
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
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