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UpUpDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$64.32
Combined PnL
-$35.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$64.32
Total Shares64
Combined PnL-$20.22
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$15.62
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $60.8 | $48.63 | -$12.17 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $23.74 | $15.69 | -$8.05 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $14.15 | — | -$14.15 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$60.8
Value
$48.63
PnL
-$12.17
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$23.74
Value
$15.69
PnL
-$8.05
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$14.15
Value
—
PnL
-$14.15
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa8919a82...fb8728
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793461500