Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$204.98
$4.13
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $102.01 | $99.99 | -$2.01 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 94Β’ | $93.99 | $99.99 | +$6 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 8.6Β’ | $8.01 | β | -$8.01 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 89.1Β’ | $50.76 | $56.97 | +$6.2 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $24.97 | $25 | +$0.04 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $13.13 | $11.67 | -$1.46 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.1Β’ | $1.54 | β | -$1.54 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.2Β’ | $10.46 | $11.35 | +$0.89 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
Invested
$102.01
Value
$99.99
PnL
-$2.01
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.76
Value
$56.97
PnL
+$6.2
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$24.97
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.04
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$13.13
Value
$11.67
PnL
-$1.46
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$1.54
Value
β
PnL
-$1.54
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$10.46
Value
$11.35
PnL
+$0.89
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
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