Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 70%
1 arb excluded
$552.15
-$8.42
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $251.48 | $254.07 | +$2.59 | 74% 102693-36455 (139148) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $52.64 | $98.57 | +$45.93 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 7.5¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42¢ | $41.39 | $98.57 | +$57.18 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $67.13 | $91.43 | +$24.3 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.1¢ | $14.54 | — | -$14.54 | 46% 38341-45284 (83625) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $56.57 | $41.95 | -$14.62 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $38.52 | $38.39 | -$0.13 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.6¢ | $10.87 | — | -$10.87 | 56% 58323-44993 (103316) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $10.27 | $15.33 | +$5.06 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $7.55 | $5 | -$2.55 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.7 | $7.4 | +$3.7 | 58% 51123-37260 (88383) |
BoneOhioInvested
$251.48
Value
$254.07
PnL
+$2.59
Record
74%
102693-36455 (139148)
Invested
$52.64
Value
$98.57
PnL
+$45.93
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.13
Value
$91.43
PnL
+$24.3
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$14.54
Value
—
PnL
-$14.54
Record
46%
38341-45284 (83625)
Invested
$56.57
Value
$41.95
PnL
-$14.62
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$38.52
Value
$38.39
PnL
-$0.13
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$10.87
Value
—
PnL
-$10.87
Record
56%
58323-44993 (103316)
Invested
$10.27
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$5.06
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
Invested
$7.55
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$7.4
PnL
+$3.7
Record
58%
51123-37260 (88383)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $254.07
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Down — $91.43
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $41.95
dvasdkasodk
Down — $38.39
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $15.33
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $5