Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$53.43
-$8.37
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $34.5 | $25 | -$9.5 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $22.27 | $26.87 | +$4.6 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.28 | — | -$1.28 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.06 | — | -$1.06 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.6¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $0.56 | $1.56 | +$1 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
Invested
$34.5
Value
$25
PnL
-$9.5
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Invested
$22.27
Value
$26.87
PnL
+$4.6
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$1.28
Value
—
PnL
-$1.28
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$1.06
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
Invested
$0.56
Value
$1.56
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
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