Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$71.41
-$22.9
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $39.81 | $43.68 | +$3.87 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $22.59 | $20.51 | -$2.08 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.8¢ | $22.68 | — | -$22.68 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.6 | $5.1 | +$2.5 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.06 | $2.12 | +$1.06 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.7¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.28 | — | -$1.28 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$39.81
Value
$43.68
PnL
+$3.87
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$22.59
Value
$20.51
PnL
-$2.08
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$22.68
Value
—
PnL
-$22.68
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.5
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$1.06
Value
$2.12
PnL
+$1.06
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$1.28
Value
—
PnL
-$1.28
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
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