Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$206.59
$28.98
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $113.87 | $115.7 | +$1.83 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.5¢ | $50.36 | $115.7 | +$65.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29¢ | $63.51 | — | -$63.51 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $31.44 | $35.39 | +$3.95 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $2.52 | $33.33 | +$30.81 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $7.9 | $12.15 | +$4.25 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $13.68 | — | -$13.68 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.2 | $5 | +$4.8 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $2.22 | $2.24 | +$0.02 | 74% 102692-36455 (139147) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $1.78 | $2.78 | +$1 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
Invested
$113.87
Value
$115.7
PnL
+$1.83
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$31.44
Value
$35.39
PnL
+$3.95
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$2.52
Value
$33.33
PnL
+$30.81
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
$12.15
PnL
+$4.25
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$13.68
Value
—
PnL
-$13.68
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$0.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.8
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$2.22
Value
$2.24
PnL
+$0.02
Record
74%
102692-36455 (139147)
Invested
$1.78
Value
$2.78
PnL
+$1
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
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