Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 40%
$142.06
-$195.67
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 38.8¢ | $221.25 | — | -$221.25 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $38.7 | $44.49 | +$5.79 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $15 | $31.72 | +$16.72 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 34.7¢ | $10.35 | $29.85 | +$19.5 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $17.47 | $17 | -$0.47 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $13.86 | $14 | +$0.14 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2¢ | $6.78 | — | -$6.78 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.5 | $5 | +$1.5 | 66% 112311-58899 (171210) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 37.8¢ | $21.34 | — | -$6.09 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.4¢ | $4.74 | — | -$4.74 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
Invested
$221.25
Value
—
PnL
-$221.25
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Invested
$38.7
Value
$44.49
PnL
+$5.79
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15
Value
$31.72
PnL
+$16.72
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.35
Value
$29.85
PnL
+$19.5
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
Invested
$17.47
Value
$17
PnL
-$0.47
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
Invested
$13.86
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.14
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.5
Record
66%
112311-58899 (171210)
Invested
$21.34
Value
—
PnL
-$6.09
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.74
Value
—
PnL
-$4.74
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
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