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UpDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$61.25
Combined PnL
-$56.11
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares105
Combined PnL-$53.7
Down2 traders
Total Value$61.25
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$2.41
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.9¢ | $42.85 | — | -$42.85 | 51% 7854-7405 (15259) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $53.05 | $45.05 | -$5.65 | 65% 125573-67230 (192803) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $12.96 | $16.2 | +$3.24 | 49% 78132-81641 (159773) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 61% 95257-60134 (155391) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 52% 90652-85212 (175864) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 112305-58874 (171179) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$42.85
Value
—
PnL
-$42.85
Record
51%
7854-7405 (15259)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$53.05
Value
$45.05
PnL
-$5.65
Record
65%
125573-67230 (192803)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.96
Value
$16.2
PnL
+$3.24
Record
49%
78132-81641 (159773)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
61%
95257-60134 (155391)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
52%
90652-85212 (175864)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
112305-58874 (171179)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8ca3f9b2...3ab5a8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793430300