Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 67%
$156.02
-$21.71
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 83¢ | $93.86 | $100.56 | +$6.7 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $52.2 | $45.47 | -$6.73 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.76 | — | -$1.76 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.5¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $15.05 | — | -$13.45 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $9.25 | $10 | +$0.75 | 49% 78112-81629 (159741) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 63% 52091-30868 (82959) |
Invested
$93.86
Value
$100.56
PnL
+$6.7
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Invested
$52.2
Value
$45.47
PnL
-$6.73
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
Invested
$1.76
Value
—
PnL
-$1.76
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$15.05
Value
—
PnL
-$13.45
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.25
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.75
Record
49%
78112-81629 (159741)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
63%
52091-30868 (82959)
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