Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 71%
1 arb excluded
$217.25
$12.75
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 71.7Β’ | $152.95 | $157.13 | +$4.18 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 71.7Β’ | $112.72 | $157.13 | +$44.41 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 36.4Β’ | $40.23 | β | -$40.23 | |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.5Β’ | $3.7 | β | -$3.7 | 63% 52091-30868 (82959) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.4Β’ | $5.33 | β | -$5.33 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51.3Β’ | $12.95 | $25.24 | +$12.29 | 58% 38054-27274 (65328) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.4Β’ | $9.29 | $12.32 | +$3.03 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 55.9Β’ | $6.29 | $11.24 | +$4.95 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $5.76 | $6.13 | +$0.37 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $4.05 | $5.19 | +$1.14 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
Invested
$152.95
Value
$157.13
PnL
+$4.18
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
β
PnL
-$3.7
Record
63%
52091-30868 (82959)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.33
Value
β
PnL
-$5.33
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
Invested
$12.95
Value
$25.24
PnL
+$12.29
Record
58%
38054-27274 (65328)
Invested
$9.29
Value
$12.32
PnL
+$3.03
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
Invested
$6.29
Value
$11.24
PnL
+$4.95
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.13
PnL
+$0.37
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$1.14
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $25.24
asdaefef
Down β $12.32
dvasdkasodk
Down β $11.24
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $6.13
asidjasiodja
Down β $5.19