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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$52.02

Combined PnL

-$189.43

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares273

Combined PnL-$220.26

Down4 traders

Total Value$52.02

Total Shares52

Combined PnL+$30.83

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR	Upavg 54.1¢	$165.35	—	-$165.35	51% 7828-7386 (15214)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 89.3¢	$47.25	—	-$47.25	64% 23717-13072 (36789)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$15.5	$31	+$15.5	58% 38054-27274 (65328)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$2.79	$10.63	+$7.84	52% 90624-85193 (175817)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 76¢	$5.32	—	-$5.32	65% 125540-67211 (192751)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 26¢	$1.4	$5.38	+$3.98	66% 126157-64992 (191149)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 30¢	$1.5	$5	+$3.5	61% 95227-60115 (155342)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$2.29	—	-$2.29	63% 52091-30868 (82959)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	66% 112303-58850 (171153)

Invested

$165.35

Value

—

PnL

-$165.35

Record

51%

7828-7386 (15214)

Invested

$47.25

Value

—

PnL

-$47.25

Record

64%

23717-13072 (36789)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$15.5

Value

$31

PnL

+$15.5

Record

58%

38054-27274 (65328)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$2.79

Value

$10.63

PnL

+$7.84

Record

52%

90624-85193 (175817)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$5.32

Value

—

PnL

-$5.32

Record

65%

125540-67211 (192751)

Invested

$1.4

Value

$5.38

PnL

+$3.98

Record

66%

126157-64992 (191149)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.5

Record

61%

95227-60115 (155342)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$2.29

Value

—

PnL

-$2.29

Record

63%

52091-30868 (82959)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

112303-58850 (171153)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x30227f42...92fd09

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793422200

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $0

aaa221

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $31

dvasdkasodk

Down — $10.63

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $5.38

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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