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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 83%

Total Value

$10.86

Combined PnL

-$92.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 12 top traders (83%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares343
Combined PnL-$93.79
Up2 traders
Total Value$10.86
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$1.52
Down — 83%Up — 17%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$52.48

Value

—

PnL

-$52.48

Record

51%

7743-7307 (15050)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.93

Value

—

PnL

-$18.93

Record

48%

23338-25669 (49007)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$8.38

Value

$8.46

PnL

+$0.08

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

49%

78059-81564 (159623)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.14

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.15

Value

—

PnL

-$2.15

Record

58%

60661-44284 (104945)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.03

Value

—

PnL

-$5.03

Record

66%

112280-58767 (171047)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.46

Value

—

PnL

-$4.46

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$0.96

Value

$2.4

PnL

+$1.44

Record

64%

40197-22999 (63196)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

63%

52043-30715 (82758)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.19

Value

—

PnL

-$1.19

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x38a9a4ec...0f3371
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793404800

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$52.48
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

-$18.93

BoneOhio

Up — $8.46

+$0.08

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.3

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.14
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.1
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.15
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.03
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.46

ohioism

Up — $2.4

+$1.44
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