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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$44.7

Combined PnL

-$43.12

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares504

Combined PnL-$65.22

Up4 traders

Total Value$44.7

Total Shares45

Combined PnL+$22.1

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 62.9¢	$35.04	—	-$35.04	51% 7743-7307 (15050)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	63% 52043-30715 (82758)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 91¢	$8.8	—	-$8.8	55% 17960-14549 (32509)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 33¢	$7.16	$21.7	+$14.54	58% 37996-27224 (65220)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 98¢	$7.84	$8	+$0.16	52% 90518-85062 (175580)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 84.6¢	$17.11	—	-$16.06	64% 23528-12966 (36494)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 27¢	$2.7	$10	+$7.3	48% 23338-25669 (49007)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	61% 95112-60031 (155143)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.4¢	$1.42	—	-$1.42	46% 38184-45085 (83269)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$35.04

Value

—

PnL

-$35.04

Record

51%

7743-7307 (15050)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$3.9

Value

—

PnL

-$3.9

Record

63%

52043-30715 (82758)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$8.8

Value

—

PnL

-$8.8

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$7.16

Value

$21.7

PnL

+$14.54

Record

58%

37996-27224 (65220)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$7.84

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.16

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

Invested

$17.11

Value

—

PnL

-$16.06

Record

64%

23528-12966 (36494)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.3

Record

48%

23338-25669 (49007)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$1.42

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb540b85f...65b8cd

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793402400

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $21.7

dvasdkasodk

Up — $8

aaa221

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $10

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

pspspsps5

Down — $0

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