Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 67%
$52.87
-$11.29
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $11.09 | — | -$11.09 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $18.41 | $22.29 | +$3.89 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $16.4 | $20.58 | +$4.18 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.91 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $8.3 | $10 | +$1.7 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.61 | — | -$1.61 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
Invested
$11.09
Value
—
PnL
-$11.09
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$18.41
Value
$22.29
PnL
+$3.89
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$16.4
Value
$20.58
PnL
+$4.18
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.7
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
$1.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.61
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
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