Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Down 50%
$89.43
-$335.78
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 43.7Β’ | $324.2 | β | -$324.2 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 70.8Β’ | $48.77 | β | -$47.73 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $10.2 | $25.89 | +$15.69 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $12.76 | β | -$12.76 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 36.8Β’ | $9.35 | $25.39 | +$16.04 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 35.6Β’ | $7.75 | $21.79 | +$14.04 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 58.2Β’ | $9.52 | $16.36 | +$6.84 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.2Β’ | $3.7 | β | -$3.7 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
Invested
$324.2
Value
β
PnL
-$324.2
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$48.77
Value
β
PnL
-$47.73
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$10.2
Value
$25.89
PnL
+$15.69
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$12.76
Value
β
PnL
-$12.76
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
$9.35
Value
$25.39
PnL
+$16.04
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$7.75
Value
$21.79
PnL
+$14.04
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$16.36
PnL
+$6.84
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
β
PnL
-$3.7
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
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