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DownUpUpUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 80%
Total Value
$47.5
Combined PnL
-$56.26
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$47.5
Total Shares48
Combined PnL-$26.05
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$30.21
Down — 17%Up — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 95.4¢ | $73.55 | $47.5 | -$26.05 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 55.6¢ | $23.2 | — | -$23.2 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 52% 90492-85022 (175514) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 61% 95091-59995 (155086) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 66% 126008-64883 (190891) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.4¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$73.55
Value
$47.5
PnL
-$26.05
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$23.2
Value
—
PnL
-$23.2
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
90492-85022 (175514)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
61%
95091-59995 (155086)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
66%
126008-64883 (190891)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xddce28dc...c6113c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793400000