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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

Total Value

$119.72

Combined PnL

-$32.67

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$119.72
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$4.48
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares126
Combined PnL-$28.2
Down — 36%Up — 64%
PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$94.17

Value

$55.42

PnL

-$38.75

Record

51%

7723-7285 (15008)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100
Down

Invested

$21.34

Value

$57

PnL

+$35.66

Record

48%

23324-25663 (48987)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.9

Record

55%

17960-14547 (32507)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$7.54

Value

$5

PnL

-$2.54

Record

52%

90492-85022 (175514)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.19

Value

—

PnL

-$10.19

Record

64%

23481-12947 (36428)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$1.15

Value

$2.3

PnL

+$1.15

Record

58%

37968-27204 (65172)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

63%

52032-30695 (82727)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.36

Value

—

PnL

-$3.36

Record

49%

78046-81554 (159600)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.07

Value

—

PnL

-$2.07

Record

46%

38165-45073 (83238)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.72

Value

—

PnL

-$2.72

Record

61%

95091-59995 (155086)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.45

Value

—

PnL

-$2.45

Record

66%

126008-64883 (190891)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6b4a6b56...c059a5
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793399700

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Down — $55.42

-$38.75
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $57

+$35.66
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.9
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

-$2.54
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$10.19
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $2.3

+$1.15

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.5

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.36

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.07
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.72
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