Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$74.12
-$12.76
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $64.71 | $53.47 | -$11.23 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $3.11 | — | -$3.11 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.6¢ | $11.36 | $15.64 | +$4.28 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 52% 90492-85022 (175514) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 61% 95091-59995 (155086) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 66% 126008-64883 (190891) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112264-58747 (171011) |
Invested
$64.71
Value
$53.47
PnL
-$11.23
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.11
Value
—
PnL
-$3.11
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
Invested
$11.36
Value
$15.64
PnL
+$4.28
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
52%
90492-85022 (175514)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
61%
95091-59995 (155086)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
126008-64883 (190891)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112264-58747 (171011)
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