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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
BoneOhioCTR<$100UpDown
pspspsps5<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$67.88
Combined PnL
$2.87
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares67
Combined PnL-$11.68
Down2 traders
Total Value$21.38
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$14.55
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $105.29 | $46.5 | -$58.79 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.9¢ | $60.65 | — | -$60.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 96¢ | $44.64 | $46.5 | +$1.86 | |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $9.6 | — | -$9.6 | 74% 102623-36437 (139060) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.32 | $10.98 | +$9.66 | 48% 23324-25663 (48987) |
pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.51 | $10.4 | +$4.89 | 46% 38165-45073 (83238) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 59% 62320-43496 (105816) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$105.29
Value
$46.5
PnL
-$58.79
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
Both legs:
Up$60.6568.9¢-$60.65
Down$44.6496¢+$1.86
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
—
PnL
-$9.6
Record
74%
102623-36437 (139060)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
$10.98
PnL
+$9.66
Record
48%
23324-25663 (48987)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$5.51
Value
$10.4
PnL
+$4.89
Record
46%
38165-45073 (83238)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
59%
62320-43496 (105816)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8adf499d...2282ea
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793398500