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UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100DownUpDownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$289.76
Combined PnL
$38.05
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$81.99
Total Shares82
Combined PnL+$52.71
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares22
Combined PnL-$14.66
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $194.39 | $127.65 | -$66.74 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.9¢ | $66.21 | $127.65 | +$61.44 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.8¢ | $128.18 | — | -$128.18 | |
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $48.64 | $80.12 | +$31.48 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 24.2¢ | $19.41 | $80.12 | +$60.71 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.9¢ | $29.23 | — | -$29.23 | |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $20.98 | $61.63 | +$40.65 | 66% 112264-58747 (171011) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 40.8¢ | $8.3 | $20.36 | +$12.06 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.06 | — | -$2.06 | 58% 37968-27204 (65172) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$194.39
Value
$127.65
PnL
-$66.74
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
Both legs:
Up$66.2151.9¢+$61.44
Down$128.1858.8¢-$128.18
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Invested
$48.64
Value
$80.12
PnL
+$31.48
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
Both legs:
Up$19.4124.2¢+$60.71
Down$29.2329.9¢-$29.23
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$20.98
Value
$61.63
PnL
+$40.65
Record
66%
112264-58747 (171011)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$20.36
PnL
+$12.06
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$2.06
Value
—
PnL
-$2.06
Record
58%
37968-27204 (65172)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33dec86b...5370e8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793398200