Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$181.89
$15.23
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 74.6¢ | $82.84 | $104.17 | +$21.33 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $46.35 | $53.44 | +$8.2 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $22.54 | $24.29 | +$1.75 | 49% 78037-81540 (159577) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $2.08 | — | -$2.08 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.5¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 63% 52021-30681 (82702) |
Invested
$82.84
Value
$104.17
PnL
+$21.33
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Invested
$46.35
Value
$53.44
PnL
+$8.2
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$22.54
Value
$24.29
PnL
+$1.75
Record
49%
78037-81540 (159577)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
Invested
$2.08
Value
—
PnL
-$2.08
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
63%
52021-30681 (82702)
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