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DownUpUp
OhioRiskManagement<$100UpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$88.57
Combined PnL
$4.33
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$15.9
Up3 traders
Total Value$88.57
Total Shares89
Combined PnL+$20.23
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.9¢ | $11.35 | — | -$11.35 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $23.34 | $46.68 | +$23.34 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.1¢ | $26.52 | $19.36 | -$7.17 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $18.48 | $22.54 | +$4.06 | 49% 78037-81540 (159577) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$11.35
Value
—
PnL
-$11.35
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$23.34
Value
$46.68
PnL
+$23.34
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.52
Value
$19.36
PnL
-$7.17
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$18.48
Value
$22.54
PnL
+$4.06
Record
49%
78037-81540 (159577)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4eb73ae7...c30190
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793392800