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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$100.84
Combined PnL
-$67.49
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 5 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares198
Combined PnL-$67.49
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 52.8¢ | $114.54 | $100.84 | -$13.7 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.8¢ | $61.83 | — | -$61.83 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52.3¢ | $52.72 | $100.84 | +$48.13 | |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.01 | — | -$1.01 | 63% 52021-30681 (82702) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.3¢ | $45.56 | — | -$39.34 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $19.32 | — | -$19.32 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 57% 71032-54136 (125168) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 46% 38152-45055 (83207) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$114.54
Value
$100.84
PnL
-$13.7
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Both legs:
Down$61.8352.8¢-$61.83
Up$52.7252.3¢+$48.13
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
-$1.01
Record
63%
52021-30681 (82702)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$45.56
Value
—
PnL
-$39.34
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$19.32
Value
—
PnL
-$19.32
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
57%
71032-54136 (125168)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
46%
38152-45055 (83207)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x416939df...386a0b
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793392200