Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
1 arb excluded
$200.46
$20.08
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 43.5Β’ | $81.01 | $100.26 | +$19.25 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 15.5Β’ | $37.41 | β | -$37.41 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 43.5Β’ | $43.6 | $100.26 | +$56.65 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.8Β’ | $39.78 | β | -$39.78 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $16.5 | $35.87 | +$19.37 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 42.3Β’ | $8.8 | $11.19 | +$2.39 | 63% 52008-30666 (82674) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 33.4Β’ | $11.49 | $34.46 | +$22.97 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $1.2 | $6.32 | +$5.12 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $1.2 | $6.32 | +$5.12 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $1.15 | $6.05 | +$4.9 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
Invested
$81.01
Value
$100.26
PnL
+$19.25
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
Both legs:
Invested
$39.78
Value
β
PnL
-$39.78
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$35.87
PnL
+$19.37
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$11.19
PnL
+$2.39
Record
63%
52008-30666 (82674)
Invested
$11.49
Value
$34.46
PnL
+$22.97
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$6.32
PnL
+$5.12
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$6.32
PnL
+$5.12
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$6.05
PnL
+$4.9
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $35.87

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $11.19
uninformedfloww
Down β $34.46
dvasdkasodk
Down β $6.32
asidjasiodja
Down β $6.32
asdaefef
Down β $6.05