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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$12.4
Combined PnL
-$23.64
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares73
Combined PnL-$25.56
Down2 traders
Total Value$12.4
Total Shares12
Combined PnL+$1.92
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $19 | — | -$19 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $4.69 | — | -$4.69 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $8.93 | $10.15 | +$1.22 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $1.55 | $2.25 | +$0.7 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$19
Value
—
PnL
-$19
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$4.69
Value
—
PnL
-$4.69
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.93
Value
$10.15
PnL
+$1.22
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
$2.25
PnL
+$0.7
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9981bb3a...1e1ec5
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793387700